How to predict football results and scores

By Tony Attwood

First, take a look at the home and away results tables that we regularly publish.  For example here is the Championship home and away tables on 4 December 2018

Pos Team Pld W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Leeds United 10 6 3 1 16 5 11 21
2 Wigan Athletic 10 6 3 1 14 8 6 21
3 Norwich City 10 7 0 3 17 13 4 21
4 West Bromwich Albion 10 6 2 2 27 14 13 20
5 Derby County 10 6 2 2 16 12 4 20
6 Aston Villa 10 5 4 1 24 17 7 19

So we can see that Leeds are the most powerful home team there is.  But they are not invincible.

Now we take a look at the away team: let us imagine it is Nottingham Forest

Pos Team Pld W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Norwich City 10 5 4 1 18 9 9 19
2 Leeds United 10 5 3 2 17 12 5 18
3 Middlesbrough 10 4 5 1 12 7 5 17
4 Sheffield United 10 5 1 4 16 14 2 16
5 Nottingham Forest 10 3 6 1 19 13 6 15

Forest are 5th in the table and have only had two defeats all season, but their away form only shows three wins.  They clearly play for draws.   We can say that a Forest away win is very unlikely, a Leeds home win seems likely but there is a strong possibility of a draw.   It would be a bad move to make this a home banker.

And very simply that is it.   One looks at the home and away form and makes predictions, and quite amazingly for something this simple, it does actually work.

Not every time of course, but sometimes.   Enough to be a very helpful guide when placing bets.

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