Bournemouth v Liverpool 8 December: the predictions

By Tony Attwood

Bournemouth’s Home Form

Bournemouth have a home form that they should be very proud of – and it is possibly helped by the smallness and tightness of the ground.

As a result they are high up in the home league table, and have scored 14 goals – that is almost two a game, with just over one conceded a game, giving us a 2-1 prediction.  But they have already lost twice at home.

Pos Team P W D L F A GD Pts
1 Manchester City 8 8 0 0 30 5 25 24
2 Liverpool 7 6 1 0 15 1 14 19
3 Chelsea 8 5 3 0 17 7 10 18
4 Arsenal 8 5 2 1 16 8 8 17
5 Everton 8 5 2 1 14 7 7 17
6 AFC Bournemouth 8 4 2 2 14 10 4 14

Liverpool’s away form

But Bournemouth are playing Liverpool who are second in the league overall.  Here is there away record where they are also second.

Pos Team P W D L F A GD Pts
1 Tottenham Hotspur 9 7 0 2 17 10 7 21
2 Liverpool 8 6 2 0 15 5 10 20
3 Manchester City 7 5 2 0 15 2 13 17

Liverpool are unbeaten away and are scoring 2 goals a game against zero or one goal conceded.

The goals compared

Each side has drawn two matches in the respective venues and that is relevant here.

If we turn to the goals we will see that Liverpool’s goals away from home are 15 scored and 5 against, while Bournemouth’s are 14 for and ten against at home.  These figures against eight games played in each case are

The runs…

Liverpool’s last five away games are

Date Game Res Score Competition
03 Nov Arsenal v Liverpool D 1-1 Premier League
06 Nov Crvena Zvezda v Liverpool L 2-0 Champions League
24 Nov Watford v Liverpool W 0-3 Premier League
28 Nov Paris St Germain v Liverpool L 2-1 Champions League
05 Dec Burnley v Liverpool W 1-3 Premier League

Bournemouth’s last five home games…

Date Game Res Score Competition
20 Oct Bournemouth v Southampton D 0-0 Premier League
30 Oct Bournemouth v Norwich City W 2-1 League Cup
03 Nov Bournemouth v Manchester Utd L 1-2 Premier League
25 Nov Bournemouth v Arsenal L 1-2 Premier League
04 Dec Bournemouth v Huddersfield T W 2-1 Premier League

So although Liverpool have a solid away record they have had some slips in the Champions League.  Bournemouth however have lost against two of the clubs that ended up in the top six last season.

Overall we see that 

The record of recent results favours Liverpool but they can slip up on occasion.

  • Bournemouth have recently lost against two superior clubs in the league.
  • Bournemouth’s home record predicts a 2-1 win against all comers, while Liverpool’s away record predicts a 0-2 win against all comers.

Add it all together and I suspect we shall see a 1-2 win for Liverpool.

One comment

  • Mackzydon9

    Yes Tony that is what I have in mind yesterday I would have add it just that I was too sleepy

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