Burnley v Brighton: the predictions
Burnley enter their home match with Brighton with the worst home record in the league:
Just one win and one draw in seven games, scoring eight (one a game) and conceding 15 (two a game). Effectively 1-2
Now Brighton does not have a much better away record
|14||Brighton and Hove Albion||8||2||1||5||7||13||-6||7|
Brighton have two wins one draw and five defeats with seven goals scored and 13 conceded away from home. Effectively 1-2. Both have negative goal differences: Brighton -6 to Burnley -7.
So on this basis both teams look as if they are going to be beaten 1-2. But of course they can’t be.
Certainly it would be surprising if either team managed to score more than one goal in this game, so I would be looking for a 1-1 draw.
Whichever you look at it, Burnley’s recent record is awful…
|20 Oct 2018||Manchester City v Burnley||L||5-0|
|28 Oct 2018||Burnley v Chelsea||L||0-4|
|03 Nov 2018||West Ham United v Burnley||L||4-2|
|10 Nov 2018||Leicester City v Burnley||D||0-0|
|26 Nov 2018||Burnley v Newcastle United||L||1-2|
|01 Dec 2018||Crystal Palace v Burnley||L||2-0|
|05 Dec 2018||Burnley v Liverpool||L||1-3|
Bur recently Brighton have been picking up…
|03 Nov 2018||Everton v Brighton and Hove Albion||L||3-1|
|10 Nov 2018||Cardiff City v Brighton and Hove Albion||L||2-1|
|24 Nov 2018||Brighton and Hove Albion v Leicester City||D||1-1|
|01 Dec 2018||Huddersfield Town v Brighton and Hove||W||1-2|
|04 Dec 2018||Brighton and Hove Albion v Crystal Palace||W||3-1|
On this basis, if there is to be a winner it is likely to be Brighton, by 2-1. Otherwise it looks like a 1-1 draw.