Wolverhampton Wanderers v Bournemouth: the predictions

In terms of home form Wolverhampton Wanderers are dead on mid-table

Pos Team P W D L F A GD Pts
1 Liverpool 16 13 3 0 34 6 28 42
2 Manchester City 16 13 2 1 45 9 36 41
3 Tottenham Hotspur 16 12 0 4 30 16 14 36
4 Chelsea 16 10 4 2 33 13 20 34
5 Arsenal 16 10 4 2 35 20 15 34
6 Manchester United 16 7 5 4 28 26 2 26
7 Everton 16 6 6 4 23 19 4 24
8 AFC Bournemouth 16 7 2 7 25 26 -1 23
9 Leicester City 16 6 4 6 21 20 1 22
10 Wolverhampton W 16 6 4 6 17 19 -2 22

Away from home Bournemouth are in much the same position.  Here’s the table just showing away games…

Pos Team Pld W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Tottenham Hotspur 10 8 0 2 19 10 9 24
2 Liverpool 9 7 2 0 19 5 14 23
3 Manchester City 8 5 2 1 15 4 11 17
4 Arsenal 7 4 2 1 18 12 6 14
5 Chelsea 7 4 1 2 14 6 8 13
6 Manchester United 8 3 2 3 14 15 -1 11
7 Leicester City 8 3 2 3 11 12 -1 11
8 Wolverhampton W 8 3 2 3 7 8 -1 11
9 AFC Bournemouth 7 3 0 4 11 12 -1 9

Interestingly Wolverhampton at home and Bournemouth away both have negative goal differences, and just one goal apart, Wolverhampton at home on -2 and Bournemouth away on -1.

But Bournemouth are scoring and conceding at a much lower rate away than Wolverhampton are achieving at home.

Here are Wolverhampton’s home games of late

29 Sep 2018 Wolverhampton W v Southampton W 2-0 Premier League
20 Oct 2018 Wolverhampton W v Watford L 0-2 Premier League
03 Nov 2018 Wolverhampton W v Tottenham H L 2-3 Premier League
25 Nov 2018 Wolverhampton W v Huddersfield T L 0-2 Premier League
05 Dec 2018 Wolverhampton v Chelsea W 2-1 Premier League

Two wins and three defeats in the last five.

Bournemouth away also delivers three defeats and two wins.  It seems neither team wants to get away from the rut.

22 Sep 2018 Burnley v AFC Bournemouth L 4-0 Premier League
06 Oct 2018 Watford v AFC Bournemouth W 0-4 Premier League
27 Oct 2018 Fulham v AFC Bournemouth W 0-3 Premier League
10 Nov 2018 Newcastle United v AFC Bournemouth L 2-1 Premier League
01 Dec 2018 Manchester City v AFC Bournemouth L 3-1 Premier League

Wolverhampton have the advantage in that they are at home and their last match was a stonking 2-1 victory over Chelsea.  With the scoring records overall of these two we might go for a goalless draw, but there have been 18 goals in these last five Bournemouth away games and 14 in the last five Wolverhampton home win.

This suggests goals; three a game in fact, possibly four.  One might even start looking at a 2-2 draw.  Otherwise we are thinking that the 2-1 win over Chelsea could give Wolverhampton confidence and they migh squeeze out the win – again 2-1, although 3-1 if Bournemouth lose heart near the end.

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