Huddersfield v Newcastle: predicting the outcome

 

Huddersfield’s home form this season is one of the worst in the league – in fact only Southampton and Fulham have picked up fewer points.

Pos Club P W D L F A GD Pts
16 Crystal Palace 16 3 3 10 13 23 -10 12
17 Burnley 16 3 3 10 15 32 -17 12
18 Huddersfield Town 16 2 4 10 10 27 -17 10
19 Southampton 16 1 6 9 13 30 -17 9
20 Fulham 16 2 3 11 16 40 -24 9

And they are scoring well under one goal a game but letting in almost three per game.  Fairly poor for a home team.

Newcastle United have hardly been setting the world on fire but away from home there is a curious point about their results.   First here is the away games table…

Pos Team P W D L F A GD Pts
1 Tottenham Hotspur 10 8 0 2 19 10 9 24
2 Liverpool 9 7 2 0 19 5 14 23
3 Manchester City 8 5 2 1 15 4 11 17
4 Arsenal 7 4 2 1 18 12 6 14
5 Chelsea 7 4 1 2 14 6 8 13
6 Manchester United 8 3 2 3 14 15 -1 11
7 Leicester City 8 3 2 3 11 12 -1 11
8 Wolverhampton W 8 3 2 3 7 8 -1 11
9 AFC Bournemouth 7 3 0 4 11 12 -1 9
10 Watford 8 2 3 3 9 10 -1 9
11 West Ham United 7 2 2 3 9 11 -2 8
12 Newcastle United 7 1 4 2 6 7 -1 7

They have indeed only won one game but they have drawn four and lost two.   Goals are scarce but much more balanced than Huddersfield, at six for, seven against, thus suggesting a 1-1 result for them is not impossibe.

Huddersfield’s record shows that the last five games have all been low scoring at home – one wonders how the home support put up with this.  Five games with a total of eight goals.

And also to be noted is that they have lost their last three games: twice by 1-2 and the third time by 1-0.

29 Sep Huddersfield Town v Tottenham Hotspur L 0-2
20 Oct Huddersfield Town v Liverpool L 0-1
05 Nov Huddersfield Town v Fulham W 1-0
10 Nov Huddersfield Town v West Ham United D 1-1
01 Dec Huddersfield Town v Brighton and Hove Albion L 1-2

There is however only one win in the last five home games, and that against Fulham, who are finding any sort of result other than a defeat hard to get anywhere.

Newcastle on the other had have been doing ok away from home with just one defeat in the last five.

22 Sep Crystal Palace v Newcastle Utd D 0-0
6 Oct Manchester Utd v Newcastle Utd L 3–2
27 Oct Southampton v Newcastle United D 0-0
26 Nov Burnley v Newcastle United W 1-2
05 Dec Everton v Newcastle United D 1-1

One win in five away games is not that good, but only one defeat too, and that by just 3-2.

This looks to me like a Newcastle win by 2-1 or 2-0.  Maybe even 3-1.

Other predictions for this weekend

 

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