Fulham v West Ham United: the match predictions

Predicting the result and score of Fulham v West Ham

The leage table spells out bad news for Fulham and indeed for Southampton this weekend.   We’ll come to Southampton shortly but for now looking at Fulham we can see they have only two wins thus far this season with two wins three draws and 11 defeats.    Their goal difference is shocking at 16 for and 40 against.  By far the worst in the League

Pos Club P W D L F A GD Pts
15 Newcastle United 16 3 4 9 13 22 -9 13
16 Crystal Palace 16 3 3 10 13 23 -10 12
17 Burnley 16 3 3 10 15 32 -17 12
18 Huddersfield T 16 2 4 10 10 27 -17 10
19 Southampton 16 1 6 9 13 30 -17 9
20 Fulham 16 2 3 11 16 40 -24 9

Looing just at home games however Fulham are far from being the worst club in the league

14 Wolverhampton 8 3 2 3 10 11 -1 11
15 Fulham 7 2 2 3 10 16 -6 8
16 Burnley 8 2 1 5 9 15 -6 7
17 Newcastle United 9 2 0 7 7 15 -8 6
18 Southampton 7 0 5 2 6 10 -4 5
19 Crystal Palace 7 1 2 4 4 8 -4 5
20 Huddersfield T 8 1 2 5 3 10 -7 5

Both of Fulham’s league victories have come at home – and they have two draws as well out of the three they have secured.  In other words their home form is low to middling, and they have a new manager which usually results in some sort of “new manager bounce” in terms of results.

Now for the table based on away form

Pos Team Pld W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Tottenham H 10 8 0 2 19 10 9 24
2 Liverpool 9 7 2 0 19 5 14 23
3 Manchester City 8 5 2 1 15 4 11 17
4 Arsenal 7 4 2 1 18 12 6 14
5 Chelsea 7 4 1 2 14 6 8 13
6 Manchester Utd 8 3 2 3 14 15 -1 11
7 Leicester City 8 3 2 3 11 12 -1 11
8 Wolverhampton 8 3 2 3 7 8 -1 11
9 Bournemouth 7 3 0 4 11 12 -1 9
10 Watford 8 2 3 3 9 10 -1 9
11 West Ham Utd 7 2 2 3 9 11 -2 8

West Ham away have two wins and two draws, just as Fulham at home have.  The goal difference however is in West Ham’s favour – they have -2 GD while Fulham are at -6, some of which is down to the hammering Fulham took at home from Arsenal.

Here are the last five Fulham home games (all games are Premier League matches)

22 Sep 2018 Fulham v Watford D 1-1
07 Oct 2018 Fulham v Arsenal L 1-5
27 Oct 2018 Fulham v AFC Bournemouth L 0-3
24 Nov 2018 Fulham v Southampton W 3-2
05 Dec 2018 Fulham v Leicester City D 1-1

There is a real improvement in the last two games (although one might argue it would have been hard for it to get any worse) – and this in part is caused by a certain stability in the team.

West Ham away have looked more solid than one might have expected

16 Sep 2018 Everton v West Ham United W 1-3
05 Oct 2018 Brighton and Hove v West Ham Utd L 1-0
27 Oct 2018 Leicester City v West Ham United D 1-1
10 Nov 2018 Huddersfield Town v West Ham Utd D 1-1
01 Dec 2018 Newcastle United v West Ham Utd W 0-3

Curiously then if we look at recent results we could argue that both sides have a slight run of form – although this is stretching the use of the word “run”.

At home Fulham overall get scores akin to 1-2 while West Ham away get 1-1.  Fulham unbeaten in two at home and West Ham unbeaten in three away suggests a draw, as does the fact that out of those last five games (two home for Fulham and three away for West Ham) three have been draws.

I’ll go for 1-1.

 

 

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