Wolverhampton v Liverpool: the predictions

Liverpool as we know are having an excellent season following their recent spending sprees in the transfer market.  I doubt that Liverpool management seriously think they will win the league but they are looking to put down a marker for next season, while trying to win a cup this season.

Wolverhampton meanwhile are looking simply to hold on to their status and gradually re-establish themselves as a Premier League club.

Before this weekend’s games Wolverhampton are sitting 7th in the league – a much higher position than many predicted.   But their home form has more of a mid-table look about it…

Pos Team P W D L F A GD Pts
1 Manchester City 9 9 0 0 33 6 27 27
2 Liverpool 8 7 1 0 18 2 16 22
3 Chelsea 9 6 3 0 19 7 12 21
4 Arsenal 9 6 2 1 17 8 9 20
5 Everton 9 5 3 1 16 9 7 18
6 Tottenham Hotspur 7 5 0 2 12 6 6 15
7 Manchester United 8 4 3 1 14 11 3 15
8 Watford 9 5 0 4 14 15 -1 15
9 Brighton and Hove Albion 8 4 2 2 13 10 3 14
10 Wolverhampton Wanderers 9 4 2 3 12 11 1 14

Four wins, two draws and three defeats, with 12 goals scored and 11 conceded.  After a seven match winless run they have just put together three victories, a real bounce back from a defeat at the end of last month to Cardiff.

30 Nov 2018 Cardiff City v Wolverhampton Wanderers L 2-1 Premier League
05 Dec 2018 Wolverhampton Wanderers v Chelsea W 2-1 Premier League
09 Dec 2018 Newcastle United v Wolverhampton Wanderers W 1-2 Premier League
15 Dec 2018 Wolverhampton Wanderers v AFC Bournemouth W 2-0 Premier League

All the more credit to Wolverhampton at home in that the first of these three games was against Chelsea.

Liverpool’s away form is beaten only by Tottenham who have been allowed to move fixtures around to try and accommodate the lack of, well, home accommodation.

Pos Team Pld W D L F A GD Pts
1 Tottenham Hotspur 10 8 0 2 19 10 9 24
2 Liverpool 9 7 2 0 19 5 14 23
3 Manchester City 8 5 2 1 15 4 11 17
4 Chelsea 8 5 1 2 16 7 9 16
5 Arsenal 8 4 2 2 20 15 5 14

Seven wins and two draws in nine Liverpool away games with just five conceded is impressive form by any standards.  A 2-0 average victory.

Thus if Wolverhampton are full of confidence so are Liverpool.  From 7 October onwards they have only lost twice and both of these defeats have been in the Champions League – which is interesting considering that some Liverpool fans consider this their natural chance of a trophy.

07 Oct 2018 Liverpool v Manchester City D 0-0 Premier League
20 Oct 2018 Huddersfield Town v Liverpool W 0-1 Premier League
24 Oct 2018 Liverpool v Crvena Zvezda W 4-0 Champions League
27 Oct 2018 Liverpool v Cardiff City W 4-1 Premier League
03 Nov 2018 Arsenal v Liverpool D 1-1 Premier League
06 Nov 2018 Crvena Zvezda v Liverpool L 2-0 Champions League
11 Nov 2018 Liverpool v Fulham W 2-0 Premier League
24 Nov 2018 Watford v Liverpool W 0-3 Premier League
28 Nov 2018 Paris St Germain v Liverpool L 2-1 Champions League
02 Dec 2018 Liverpool v Everton W 1-0 Premier League
05 Dec 2018 Burnley v Liverpool W 1-3 Premier League
08 Dec 2018 AFC Bournemouth v Liverpool W 0-4 Premier League
11 Dec 2018 Liverpool v Napoli W 1-0 Champions League
16 Dec 2018 Liverpool v Manchester United W 3-1 Premier League

So it is six wins in a row in the Premier League for Liverpool, but away from home these have been against Bournemouth, Burnley and Watford.   The last time Liverpool met one of the larger teams in the league away it was a draw.

However for all Wolverhampton’s progress one cannot put them in the category of a serious “top six” club, and this looks like a Liverpool victory all the way.   0-2 to Liverpool, but could be more if Wolverhampton let things slip in the last 15 minutes.

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