Watford v Chelsea: match predictions
Watford have been having a poor run, but have suddenly come out of it in the last couple of results…
|03 Nov 2018||Newcastle United v Watford||L||1-0||Premier League|
|10 Nov 2018||Southampton v Watford||D||1-1||Premier League|
|24 Nov 2018||Watford v Liverpool||L||0-3||Premier League|
|01 Dec 2018||Leicester City v Watford||L||2-0||Premier League|
|04 Dec 2018||Watford v Manchester City||L||1-2||Premier League|
|10 Dec 2018||Everton v Watford||D||2-2||Premier League|
|15 Dec 2018||Watford v Cardiff City||W||3-2||Premier League|
|22 Dec 2018||West Ham United v Watford||W||0-2||Premier League|
Now of course neither Cardiff nor West Ham are top six teams, but even so it required a pick up in form by Watford to get those two victories, scoring five goals. Indeed add in the Everton game and we have seven goals scored by Watford in the last three Premier League games.
And in fact when we look at Watford’s home form they are in the top half of the table
In fact Watford have the same number of home points as Tottenham and Manchester United, although to be fair they have played more games at home. The only thing missing is the solid home defence. 15 conceded at home is problematic.
Chelsea away from home are interesting…
Five wins one draw and two defeats is pretty much par for a top six club away from home, and 16 goals against 9 shows they probably go into this game fairly confident of a win by 2-1.
Chelsea’s recent results however are also interesting…
|05 Dec 2018||Wolverhampton Wanderers v Chelsea||L||2-1||Premier League|
|08 Dec 2018||Chelsea v Manchester City||W||2-0||Premier League|
|13 Dec 2018||Videoton v Chelsea||D||2-2||Europa League|
|16 Dec 2018||Brighton and Hove Albion v Chelsea||W||1-2||Premier League|
|19 Dec 2018||Chelsea v AFC Bournemouth||W||1-0||League Cup|
|22 Dec 2018||Chelsea v Leicester City||L||0-1||Premier League|
We don’t need to worry too much about the Europa League game but two defeats in four Premier League games, with the team losing away to Wolverhampton and at home to Leicester suggest there is something not completely right.
When we come to the full league table, Chelsea’s expectation of a top four place and thus a return to the Champions League looks very possible – but not guaranteed. They are unlikely, as things stand, to be caught by Manchester United (it would need a bad run by Chelsea to allow Man U to catch up) but there must also be a concern that Arsenal could overtake them
Chelsea’s victory over the 7th placed team is still likely, but it can’t be taken utterly for granted and there is an outside chance of a draw. But a Watford victory would be a shock.