Fulham v Huddersfield Town: the predictions

Fulham have not only moved off the bottom of the League but also bottom of the League when we just look at home games

Home games only

Pos Club P W D L F A GD Pts
14 Cardiff City 10 4 1 5 13 20 -7 13
15 Crystal Palace 9 2 3 4 5 8 -3 9
16 Fulham 9 2 3 4 11 19 -8 9
17 Southampton 9 1 5 3 10 14 -4 8
18 Newcastle United 10 2 1 7 7 15 -8 7
19 Burnley 9 2 1 6 10 20 -10 7
20 Huddersfield Town 10 1 2 7 4 14 -10 5

Two wins, three draws and four defeats is not terrific, but it is an improvement.  And just 11 goals at home in nine games is not great but it is better than five teams around them.

Huddersfield Town have only won one game all season, and are already three points away from safety.  But away from home they are not in the bottom three, just as Fulham are not in the home games table.

Away games only

14 AFC Bournemouth 9 3 0 6 11 19 -8 9
15 Brighton and Hove Albion 10 2 1 7 7 16 -9 7
16 Southampton 10 2 1 7 10 21 -11 7
17 Huddersfield Town 9 1 2 6 8 20 -12 5
18 Burnley 10 1 2 7 7 21 -14 5
19 Cardiff City 9 0 2 7 5 18 -13 2
20 Fulham 10 0 2 8 6 24 -18 2

So a team that has won two out of nine at home against a team that has won one out of nine away.   A team that has conceded 19 goals at home against a team that has scored 20 goals away.

The only factor where there is any light between the two is goals – 11 for Fulham at home and 8 for Huddersfield away.  Is that enough to give a home win?  In such a battle at the bottom it could be.

However there is one other factor where the teams can be separated:  The head to head.

If we travel back to 1994, there is only one Huddersfield win…

Date Game Res Score Competition
19 Mar 1994 Fulham v Huddersfield Town D 1-1 Division 2
23 Oct 1999 Huddersfield Town v Fulham D 1-1 Division 1
07 May 2000 Fulham v Huddersfield Town W 3-0 Division 1
04 Nov 2000 Fulham v Huddersfield Town W 3-0 Division 1
14 Apr 2001 Huddersfield Town v Fulham W 1-2 Division 1
08 Nov 2014 Fulham v Huddersfield Town W 3-1 Championship
21 Mar 2015 Huddersfield Town v Fulham W 0-2 Championship
22 Aug 2015 Fulham v Huddersfield Town D 1-1 Championship
16 Jan 2016 Huddersfield Town v Fulham D 1-1 Championship
29 Oct 2016 Fulham v Huddersfield Town W 5-0 Championship
22 Apr 2017 Huddersfield Town v Fulham W 1-4 Championship
05 Nov 2018 Huddersfield Town v Fulham L 1-0 Premier League

And it is not just that Fulham almost always win but also a look at the scores.  In the last three meetings there has been 10 goals for Fulham against two for Huddersfield.

This really does make it look like a Fulham win.

However there is just one more issue…

If we look at the league table

Pos Club P W D L F A GD Pts
17 Cardiff City 19 4 3 12 18 38 -20 15
18 Burnley 19 3 3 13 17 41 -24 12
19 Fulham 19 2 5 12 17 43 -26 11
20 Huddersfield Town 19 2 4 13 12 34 -22 10

three teams are slipping behind.  Can any of them make up the difference a push Cardiff down rather than themselves?  My view is that Burnley have committed suicide (see the last Burnley review) but I suspect one of the other two will make a recovery – and if either win in this round of games that could be the starting point.

I’m going for Fulham, although not by much.

See also

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