Totteham Hotspur v Wolverhampton: the predictions

If Tottenham do have a weakness it is at home as this league table based only on home matches shows

Club P W D L F A GD Pts
1 Manchester City 10 9 0 1 35 9 26 27
2 Liverpool 9 8 1 0 22 2 20 25
3 Arsenal 10 7 2 1 20 9 11 23
4 Chelsea 10 6 3 1 19 8 11 21
5 Tottenham Hotspur 8 6 0 2 17 6 11 18

Even if Tottenham won both their home games in hand they would still only be third in the table, and winning both those home games is by no means certain.

Plus they have a problem: they will at some stage move to the new stadium, and unless they overthrow all historic prescedents that will give them some further issues.

It is not that they are bad at home thus far – not at all – but they are not operating at the level of the top two, which is where they aim to be.

As the table below shows they are in fact operating brilliantly away from home.  And this table shows why they certainly ought to win this match with ease for Wolverhampton are very much a mid-table away side

Club P W D L F A GD Pts
1 Tottenham Hotspur 11 9 0 2 25 12 13 27
2 Liverpool 10 8 2 0 21 5 16 26
3 Chelsea 9 6 1 2 18 8 10 19
4 Manchester City 9 5 2 2 16 6 10 17
5 Arsenal 9 4 3 2 21 16 5 15
6 Manchester United 10 4 2 4 20 19 1 14
7 West Ham United 9 4 2 3 13 12 1 14
8 Leicester City 10 4 2 4 12 13 -1 14
9 Watford 9 3 3 3 11 10 1 12
10 Wolverhampton Wanderers 9 3 3 3 8 9 -1 12

Three wins, three draws and three defeats with just eight goals scored and nine conceded does not give one the feeling that this team can defeat a team which has won six and lost two at home scoring 17 and conceding six.

Indeed since their defeat to Arsenal away from home Tottenham have regained their form in the league…

05 Dec 2018 Tottenham Hotspur v Southampton W 3-1
08 Dec 2018 Leicester City v Tottenham Hotspur W 0-2
15 Dec 2018 Tottenham Hotspur v Burnley W 1-0
23 Dec 2018 Everton v Tottenham Hotspur W 2-6
26 Dec 2018 Tottenham Hotspur v AFC Bournemouth W 5-0

Form can’t get better than that, not least with 11 goals in the last two games.  True Wolverhampton have not been doing too bad in the last five…

05 Dec 2018 Wolverhampton Wanderers v Chelsea W 2-1
09 Dec 2018 Newcastle United v Wolverhampton Wanderers W 1-2
15 Dec 2018 Wolverhampton Wanderers v AFC Bournemouth W 2-0
21 Dec 2018 Wolverhampton Wanderers v Liverpool L 0-2
26 Dec 2018 Fulham v Wolverhampton Wanderers D 1-1

And their defence looks solid, so they might well reduce Tottenham down from the five and six level, both because they are a defensive team and Tottenham are at Wembley, but even so anything other than a clear Tottenham victory by two goals or more would be a great surprise.

Other predictions…

 

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