Everton v Leicester: the predictions

Tuesday 1 January

12:30 Everton v Leicester City
Referee: Martin Atkinson
Assistants: Stephen Child, Lee Betts
Fourth official: Anthony Taylor

Everton are currently 8th in the table when it comes to home matches only…

Team P W D L F A GD Pts
1 Liverpool 10 9 1 0 27 3 24 28
2 Manchester City 10 9 0 1 35 9 26 27
3 Arsenal 10 7 2 1 20 9 11 23
4 Chelsea 10 6 3 1 19 8 11 21
5 Tottenham Hotspur 9 6 0 3 18 9 9 18
6 Manchester United 9 5 3 1 17 12 5 18
7 Brighton and Hove Albion 10 5 3 2 15 11 4 18
8 Everton 10 5 3 2 18 15 3 18

Five wins, three draws and two defeats but with only just having achieved positive score in the goal difference.  They sit alongside Tottenham and Manchester United who both have a home game in hand.

Leicester are in ninth place in the away games table with a creditable four wins, two draws and four defeats and a goal difference of minus one.

Team P W D L F A GD Pts
1 Tottenham Hotspur 11 9 0 2 25 12 13 27
2 Liverpool 10 8 2 0 21 5 16 26
3 Chelsea 10 6 2 2 18 8 10 20
4 Manchester City 9 5 2 2 16 6 10 17
5 Arsenal 10 4 3 3 22 21 1 15
6 Wolverhampton Wanderers 10 4 3 3 11 10 1 15
7 Manchester United 10 4 2 4 20 19 1 14
8 West Ham United 9 4 2 3 13 12 1 14
9 Leicester City 10 4 2 4 12 13 -1 14

So neither team is knocking in the goals in their respective tables: Everton 1.8 to 1.5 per game and Leicester 1.2 to 1.3 per game.

Everton’s run in the Premier League has been poor of late…

Date Game Res Score
02 Dec 2018 Liverpool v Everton L 1-0
05 Dec 2018 Everton v Newcastle United D 1-1
10 Dec 2018 Everton v Watford D 2-2
15 Dec 2018 Manchester City v Everton L 3-1
23 Dec 2018 Everton v Tottenham Hotspur L 2-6
26 Dec 2018 Burnley v Everton W 1-5
29 Dec 2018 Brighton and Hove Albion v Everton L 1-0

Their one success in December being a thumping of a Burnley side whose manager committed team suicide by claiming that his team would not be able to win anything because the refs are all against them!  A bizarre thing to do.

Leicester have slightly edged this side of things in December – and as above we are looking here at Premier League matches only.

Date Game Res Score
01 Dec 2018 Leicester City v Watford W 2-0
05 Dec 2018 Fulham v Leicester City D 1-1
08 Dec 2018 Leicester City v Tottenham Hotspur L 0-2
15 Dec 2018 Crystal Palace v Leicester City L 1-0
22 Dec 2018 Chelsea v Leicester City W 0-1
26 Dec 2018 Leicester City v Manchester City W 2-1
29 Dec 2018 Leicester City v Cardiff City L 0-1

For Leicester the Cardiff result looks out of context from the rest, one presumes that they simply thought it would all be too easy after those two sensational results against Chelsea and Manchester City.

But given the closeness of the home and away results shown aabove I think the recent form could hold sway here and I’d go for a Leicester win.

 

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