Cardiff City v Tottenham Hotspur, the predictions

Tuesday 1 January 2019

  • 17:30 Cardiff City v Tottenham Hotspur
  • Referee: Kevin Friend
  • Assistants: Stuart Burt, Matthew Wilkes
  • Fourth official: Simon Hooper

The prediction we’ve thought might well come true with regards to Tottenham is that once they move to their new home stadium they will have a problem.   That’s nothing to do with Tottenham as such, but rather to do with the fact that most clubs on moving grounds have a problem.  It was a pattern that began in the 1990s with Middlesbrough moving and being relegated.  Stoke, Bolton, Derby, Sunderland, Wigan, Reading, Southampton, Hull, and Leicester all followed.

Of course not everyone goes down when they build a new ground – especially if they are funded from the public purse such as Manchester City and West Ham United; but it can happen.

This is not to say that Tottenham will end up being relegated next season, but it is a sign that moving ground can cause a bit of a wobble.

And I wonder if we have seen a little bit of that, even before the new stadium is opened, with Tottenham Hotspur.  Looing at their results of late what we see is…

02 Dec 2018 Arsenal v Tottenham Hotspur L 4-2
05 Dec 2018 Tottenham Hotspur v Southampton W 3-1
08 Dec 2018 Leicester City v Tottenham Hotspur W 0-2
15 Dec 2018 Tottenham Hotspur v Burnley W 1-0
23 Dec 2018 Everton v Tottenham Hotspur W 2-6
26 Dec 2018 Tottenham Hotspur v AFC Bournemouth W 5-0
29 Dec 2018 Tottenham Hotspur v Wolverhampton Wanderers L 1-3

A wonderful run of wins in the league (cup games have been omitted from the above) and then suddenly the wobble on 29 December, after scoring 11 goals in two games.  Of course I am not sure when the actual start date is for the new ground, but it must be sometime soon, surely.

For this game, Cardiff at home are not fairing well, but given their aspirations at the start of the year maybe that is to be expected…

This is the home table…

Club P W D L F A GD
Pts
9 AFC Bournemouth 10 5 2 3 16 14 2 17
10 Watford 11 5 1 5 16 18 -2 16
11 Leicester City 10 4 2 4 12 10 2 14
12 Wolverhampton Wanderers 10 4 2 4 12 13 -1 14
13 West Ham United 10 4 1 5 14 16 -2 13
14 Cardiff City 10 4 1 5 13 20 -7 13
15 Fulham 10 3 3 4 12 19 -7 12
16 Burnley 10 3 1 6 12 20 -8 10
17 Southampton 10 1 6 3 11 15 -4 9

Four wins one draw and five defeats so far at home, and they are facing Tottenham, whose away form seems to suggest that they are just relieved not to be playing at Wembley.  This is Tottenham’s away form…

1 Tottenham Hotspur 11 9 0 2 25 12 13 27
2 Liverpool 10 8 2 0 21 5 16 26
3 Chelsea 10 7 1 2 19 8 11 22
4 Manchester City 10 6 2 2 18 7 11 20

Nine wins, two defeats and scoring over two goals a game while letting in just one – that is quite something for an away form.

So can Tottenham pick themselves up after a home defeat?  Certainly if that away form is something they are very conscious of.

The biggest worry for Cardiff must be that their overall form in December could have been better…

04 Dec 2018 West Ham United v Cardiff City L 3-1
08 Dec 2018 Cardiff City v Southampton W 1-0
15 Dec 2018 Watford v Cardiff City L 3-2
22 Dec 2018 Cardiff City v Manchester United L 1-5
26 Dec 2018 Crystal Palace v Cardiff City D 0-0
29 Dec 2018 Leicester City v Cardiff City W 0-1

Just two wins to report, both by 1-0, both against teams that looked possibles for defeat.

If Cardiff were to win, that would certainly put the worries into the Tottenham camp just before the move away from Wembley.  But for the moment I’ll go with a 0-2 to Tottenham.

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