Having a long winning streak can give a big boost to players, but ending a winning streak with a poor defeat can really knock a team back.
In the space of five days Manchester City lost to Crystal Palace at home and Leicester City away in December while Liverpool went on a winning run and extended their league at the top.
|22 Dec 2018||Manchester City v Crystal Palace||L||2-3|
|26 Dec 2018||Leicester City v Manchester City||L||2-1|
|30 Dec 2018||Southampton v Manchester City||W||1-3|
|03 Jan 2019||Manchester City v Liverpool||W||2-1|
|14 Jan 2019||Manchester City v Wolverhampton Wanderers||W||3-0|
|20 Jan 2019||Huddersfield Town v Manchester City||W||0-3|
|29 Jan 2019||Newcastle United v Manchester City||L||2-1|
|03 Feb 2019||Manchester City v Arsenal||W||3-1|
|06 Feb 2019||Everton v Manchester City||W||0-2|
The defeat against Newcastle suggested more wobbles but the two recent wins, combined with wobbles by Liverpool has given them a real boost.
Chelsea on the other hand have had more wobbles still…
|02 Jan 2019||Chelsea v Southampton||D||0-0||Premier League|
|12 Jan 2019||Chelsea v Newcastle United||W||2-1||Premier League|
|19 Jan 2019||Arsenal v Chelsea||L||2-0||Premier League|
|30 Jan 2019||AFC Bournemouth v Chelsea||L||4-0||Premier League|
|02 Feb 2019||Chelsea v Huddersfield Town||W||5-0||Premier League|
Just two wins in five games this year, and both those against very beatable opponents. 5-0 against Huddersfield won’t wipe out the memories of the defeats to Arsenal and Chelsea and this fact alone makes a Manchester City win look very likely indeed.
Chelsea away are doing ok… seven wins in 12 games is a good return, although their overall goal difference is only five goals.
Away games only
But when we compare this to Manchester City’s home form we find that the chances of a Chelsea win are seriously diminished, not least by the fact that Manchester City score over three goals a game on average and concede only one, when at home.
Home games only
With Chelsea’s recent wobble and Manchester City’s revival – plus their home form – I can’t see this as anything other than a Manchester City win.