Barcelona v Tottenham Predictions

To get through to the next round of the Champions League, Tottenham have to beat Barcelona away.

Now we know from our analyses of domestic matches that Tottenham have been superb away from home in the League, at least up until the match against Arsenal which they lost 4-2,  but what about in the Champions League?

Away they have lost 2-1 to Inter, drawn 2-2 with PSV and now face Barcelona. They also lost at home to Barcelona 4-2.

Barcelona won last weeked 4-0 away to local rivals Espanyol, while in the League at the start of this month they beat Villarreal 2-0 at home.

Man City v Everton: predictions

Here are the analyses for the Manchester City v Everton game

Man City at home

Pos Team P W D L F A GD Pts
1 Manchester City 8 8 0 0 30 5 25 24
2 Chelsea 9 6 3 0 19 7 12 21
3 Arsenal 9 6 2 1 17 8 9 20
4 Liverpool 7 6 1 0 15 1 14 19
5 Everton 8 5 2 1 14 7 7 17

And for Everton away

Pos Team P W D L F A GD Pts
1 Tottenham Hotspur 10 8 0 2 19 10 9 24
2 Liverpool 9 7 2 0 19 5 14 23
3 Manchester City 8 5 2 1 15 4 11 17
4 Arsenal 7 4 2 1 18 12 6 14
5 Chelsea 7 4 1 2 14 6 8 13
6 Manchester United 8 3 2 3 14 15 -1 11
7 Leicester City 8 3 2 3 11 12 -1 11
8 Wolverhampton W 8 3 2 3 7 8 -1 11
9 AFC Bournemouth 7 3 0 4 11 12 -1 9
10 Watford 7 2 2 3 7 8 -1 8
11 West Ham United 7 2 2 3 9 11 -2 8
12 Newcastle United 7 1 4 2 6 7 -1 7
13 Crystal Palace 9 2 1 6 9 15 -6 7
14 Brighton and Hove 9 2 1 6 7 14 -7 7
15 Everton 7 1 3 3 7 10 -3 6

Clearly Everton have a really poor away form – worse in fact than Arsenal had last season when it managed only four away wins in the whole campaign.

Manchester City have a perfect home record – eight out of eight.

In terms of goals Manchester City have scored 30 at home and conceded 5.  4-0 or 4-1 is their average score.

Everton have scored 7 away and conceded 10. 1-2 is there most likely away score.

Everton will come to defend, defend and defend, while Manchester City will want to show off their attack.

The result should be 4-0 at least – perhaps more.

Burnley v Brighton: the predictions

Burnley enter their home match with Brighton with the worst home record in the league:

17 Southampton 7 0 5 2 6 10 -4 5
18 Crystal Palace 7 1 2 4 4 8 -4 5
19 Huddersfield Town 8 1 2 5 3 10 -7 5
20 Burnley 7 1 1 5 8 15 -7 4

Just one win and one draw in seven games, scoring eight (one a game) and conceding 15 (two a game).  Effectively 1-2

Now Brighton does not have a much better away record

13 Crystal Palace 8 2 1 5 7 12 -5 7
14 Brighton and Hove Albion 8 2 1 5 7 13 -6 7
15 Everton 7 1 3 3 7 10 -3 6
16 Huddersfield Town 7 1 2 4 7 16 -9 5
17 Burnley 8 1 2 5 6 17 -11 5
18 Southampton 8 1 1 6 7 19 -12 4
19 Cardiff City 7 0 1 6 3 15 -12 1
20 Fulham 8 0 1 7 5 20 -15 1

Brighton have two wins one draw and five defeats with seven goals scored and 13 conceded away from home.  Effectively 1-2.    Both have negative goal differences: Brighton -6 to Burnley -7.

So on this basis both teams look as if they are going to be beaten 1-2.  But of course they can’t be.

Certainly it would be surprising if either team managed to score more than one goal in this game, so I would be looking for a 1-1 draw.

Whichever you look at it, Burnley’s recent record is awful…

20 Oct 2018 Manchester City v Burnley L 5-0
28 Oct 2018 Burnley v Chelsea L 0-4
03 Nov 2018 West Ham United v Burnley L 4-2
10 Nov 2018 Leicester City v Burnley D 0-0
26 Nov 2018 Burnley v Newcastle United L 1-2
01 Dec 2018 Crystal Palace v Burnley L 2-0
05 Dec 2018 Burnley v Liverpool L 1-3

Bur recently Brighton have been picking up…

03 Nov 2018 Everton v Brighton and Hove Albion L 3-1
10 Nov 2018 Cardiff City v Brighton and Hove Albion L 2-1
24 Nov 2018 Brighton and Hove Albion v Leicester City D 1-1
01 Dec 2018 Huddersfield Town v Brighton and Hove W 1-2
04 Dec 2018 Brighton and Hove Albion v Crystal Palace W 3-1

On this basis, if there is to be a winner it is likely to be Brighton, by 2-1.  Otherwise it looks like a 1-1 draw.

Coming this weekend: a preview of Arsenal, Man U and Burnley

By Osakpamwan Osadolor

In this article I’m going to look at the home and away analysis.   But it can also be important to look at who is officiating the game because very poor officiating cost us a win at the Old Trafford, so with this in mind let’s delve in a bit.

  • Arsenal vs Huddersfield
  • Referee: Paul Tierney
  • Numbers of matches officiated: 10 matches

Given that he officiated the Arsenal match vs Fulham in which we hit five past their keeper something I noticed  is that seven of Paul’s  game all ended in favour of the away team and no draw so the other three are obviously home wins.

In his matches the home team has not score more than three goals with four games ending with a clean sheet for the winner. In games involving the top six the cards are always over 3 with Man City game versus Watford  the only game to produce 1 card.

Home and away

Arsenal played 8 home matches losing one and winning five drawing two

Huddersfield  played 7 away losing 4 winning one drawing  2.

Possible outcome:  Arsenal to win 3:0 or 3:1

With the remaining matches I’ll restrict myself just to the games.

  • Man Utd versus Fulham

 Home and away

Man U: played seven home matches lose one, win 3, draw 3

Fulham: played 8 away games lose 7 win nil draw 1

Possible outcome:  Man u win 2:0 or 3:0

  • Burnley versus Brighton

Home and away
Burnley: played 6 home games lose 4 win 1 draw 1

Brighton: played 8 away games lose 5 win 2 draw one

Potential outcome: Score draw 1:1 or 2:2

Bournemouth v Liverpool 8 December: the predictions

By Tony Attwood

Bournemouth’s Home Form

Bournemouth have a home form that they should be very proud of – and it is possibly helped by the smallness and tightness of the ground.

As a result they are high up in the home league table, and have scored 14 goals – that is almost two a game, with just over one conceded a game, giving us a 2-1 prediction.  But they have already lost twice at home.

Pos Team P W D L F A GD Pts
1 Manchester City 8 8 0 0 30 5 25 24
2 Liverpool 7 6 1 0 15 1 14 19
3 Chelsea 8 5 3 0 17 7 10 18
4 Arsenal 8 5 2 1 16 8 8 17
5 Everton 8 5 2 1 14 7 7 17
6 AFC Bournemouth 8 4 2 2 14 10 4 14

Liverpool’s away form

But Bournemouth are playing Liverpool who are second in the league overall.  Here is there away record where they are also second.

Pos Team P W D L F A GD Pts
1 Tottenham Hotspur 9 7 0 2 17 10 7 21
2 Liverpool 8 6 2 0 15 5 10 20
3 Manchester City 7 5 2 0 15 2 13 17

Liverpool are unbeaten away and are scoring 2 goals a game against zero or one goal conceded.

The goals compared

Each side has drawn two matches in the respective venues and that is relevant here.

If we turn to the goals we will see that Liverpool’s goals away from home are 15 scored and 5 against, while Bournemouth’s are 14 for and ten against at home.  These figures against eight games played in each case are

The runs…

Liverpool’s last five away games are

Date Game Res Score Competition
03 Nov Arsenal v Liverpool D 1-1 Premier League
06 Nov Crvena Zvezda v Liverpool L 2-0 Champions League
24 Nov Watford v Liverpool W 0-3 Premier League
28 Nov Paris St Germain v Liverpool L 2-1 Champions League
05 Dec Burnley v Liverpool W 1-3 Premier League

Bournemouth’s last five home games…

Date Game Res Score Competition
20 Oct Bournemouth v Southampton D 0-0 Premier League
30 Oct Bournemouth v Norwich City W 2-1 League Cup
03 Nov Bournemouth v Manchester Utd L 1-2 Premier League
25 Nov Bournemouth v Arsenal L 1-2 Premier League
04 Dec Bournemouth v Huddersfield T W 2-1 Premier League

So although Liverpool have a solid away record they have had some slips in the Champions League.  Bournemouth however have lost against two of the clubs that ended up in the top six last season.

Overall we see that 

The record of recent results favours Liverpool but they can slip up on occasion.

  • Bournemouth have recently lost against two superior clubs in the league.
  • Bournemouth’s home record predicts a 2-1 win against all comers, while Liverpool’s away record predicts a 0-2 win against all comers.

Add it all together and I suspect we shall see a 1-2 win for Liverpool.

The Relationship Between Football and Betting: A Brief History

The Relationship Between Football and Betting: A Brief History

When it comes to the relationship between sports in general and gambling, it’s common knowledge that despite the negative stigma of the latter, it’s difficult for one to survive without the other. It’s something that existed long before the crowds over at Arsenal began betting that their sports club would triumph over their opponents. From gambling on which team would win all the way to bets about when a specific team would score, there’s no denying the fact that sports betting shares football’s illustrious history.

While some might argue that sports betting sullies the honour of the game and devalues it, gambling has not once slowed in pace. There was a time when it was completely illegal to make bets on football matches, but it wasn’t long before efforts were made to circumvent it. In the case of Arsenal, it was the founding of Littlewoods Football Pools back in 1923. Before the pools, a crowd would merely gather and make bets about which team would win. However, it didn’t stop the law from cracking down.

Games of skill

While regular betting had no defence against the law, the pools utilised another tactic to get past the police. It involved making claims that sports betting was more a game of skill than a game of chance. Being able to make bets about which team would score in which half of the game involved intimate knowledge of the team’s members, as well as being knowledgeable enough to make an intelligent guess when two teams duked it out. At the time, only the horse track had a legal pool, and with the notion that sports betting took skill, Littlewoods Football Pools circumvented the law and became more popular than ever.

A question of culture

It would be a valid question to ask whether or not the pools would have been as popular as it is if it hadn’t been able to convince the law that it was more about skill than chance. It’s likely that it would have been even more popular, as gambling, in general, has a habit of becoming stronger the more resistance it faces. In some ways, betting is a part of world culture, and Arsenal is certainly no exception. Whether you’re the type that enjoys other forms of gambling such as live blackjack at Bingo.com or sports betting, you’ll find no shortage of opportunities to do so.

To conclude, it’s likely that gambling will never be universally accepted, despite the fact that it’s been a part of human culture for a very long time. However, it would be remiss to simply discount sports betting without acknowledging how much it has accomplished. Whether in football or almost every other sport, sports betting, in general, has brought its own share of universal appeal, and much of its popularity can be attributed to all of those people who take pleasure from taking chances and winning big. It might not be for everyone, but it has certainly made its impact and will likely continue to do so in the future.

Image: Pixabay.com

Predicting tonight’s result: Everton v Newcastle

By Tony Attwood

This game which will take place today, on 5 December 2018, is selected as a way of exploring how our system of predictions works.  The game is only a few hours away, so there will be an immediate chance to see how well or badly the process works.

A quick look at the league table suggests this should be a straightforward Everton victory:

Pos Team Pld W D L F A GD Pts
1 Manchester City 15 13 2 0 45 7 38 41
2 Liverpool 14 11 3 0 27 5 22 36
3 Chelsea 14 9 4 1 30 11 19 31
4 Arsenal 14 9 3 2 32 18 14 30
5 Tottenham H 14 10 0 4 25 15 10 30
6 Bournemouth 15 7 2 6 25 22 3 23
7 Everton 14 6 4 4 20 16 4 22
8 Manchester Utd 14 6 4 4 22 23 -1 22
9 Leicester City 14 6 3 5 20 17 3 21
10 Brighton 15 6 3 6 19 21 -2 21
11 Watford 15 6 2 7 18 21 -3 20
12 West Ham Utd 15 5 3 7 20 23 -3 18
13 Wolverhampton 14 4 4 6 13 17 -4 16
14 Newcastle Utd 14 3 3 8 11 19 -8 12

Everton have ten more points than Newcastle.  But let’s check on the home and away form.  Here is Everton at home

Pos Team Pld W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Man City 8 8 0 0 30 5 25 24
2 Liverpool 7 6 1 0 15 1 14 19
3 Chelsea 8 5 3 0 17 7 10 18
4 Arsenal 8 5 2 1 16 8 8 17
5 Everton 7 5 1 1 13 6 7 16

As we might expect a solid home performance, scoring almost two goals a game, and conceding just under one.

In terms of away form we need to look at the lower reaches of the table for Newcastle

Pos Club P W D L F A GD Pts
14 Newcastle Utd 6 1 3 2 5 6 -1 6
15 Everton 7 1 3 3 7 10 -3 6
16 Huddersfield T 7 1 2 4 7 16 -9 5
17 Burnley 8 1 2 5 6 17 -11 5
18 Southampton 7 1 1 5 6 16 -10 4
19 Cardiff City 7 0 1 6 3 15 -12 1
20 Fulham 8 0 1 7 5 20 -15 1

Interestingly Everton are actually worse away from home than Newcastle – but there is one pointer here that suggests that this might not be quite as easy a game as we have imagined.  Everton are winning 2-1 at home on average.  But Newcastle are averaging around 1-1 away from home.  That still edges the prediction towards Everton, but not by as much as we might have thought.

To give a final insight we might consider recent results:

Everton’s last home defeat was against West Ham – not a team renowned for ripping their way through defences away from home

16 Sep 2018 Everton v West Ham United L 1-3 Premier League
29 Sep 2018 Everton v Fulham W 3-0 Premier League
02 Oct 2018 Everton v Southampton L 3-4 League Cup
21 Oct 2018 Everton v Crystal Palace W 2-0 Premier League
03 Nov 2018 Everton v Brighton and Hove Albion W 3-1 Premier League
24 Nov 2018 Everton v Cardiff City W 1-0 Premier League

And if we look at the last couple of away games (to Chelsea and Liverpool) we find a 0-0 draw and a 1-0 defeat – that in a game in which they conceded a goal in about the 7th minute of added on time.   At home however a very solid performance of late.

Is there anything in Newcastle’s record to convince us of an upset?

22 Sep 2018 Crystal Palace v Newcastle U D 0-0 Premier League
29 Sep 2018 Newcastle U v Leicester City L 0-2 Premier League
06 Oct 2018 Manchester United v Newcastle L 3-2 Premier League
20 Oct 2018 Newcastle United v Brighton L 0-1 Premier League
27 Oct 2018 Southampton v Newcastle U D 0-0 Premier League
03 Nov 2018 Newcastle United v Watford W 1-0 Premier League
10 Nov 2018 Newcastle U v Bournemouth W 2-1 Premier League
26 Nov 2018 Burnley v Newcastle United W 1-2 Premier League
01 Dec 2018 Newcastle United v West Ham L 0-3 Premier League

Newcastle did have three successive wins against Watford, Bournemouth and Burnley, but only one was away from home – the only away success on this list, and the final game was the 0-3 home defeat to West Ham.  To bet on Newcastle you’d have to be banking on a bounce back to that home defeat.  I suspect we are safe with the 2-1 prediction.

Going to the 4th tier can get you better odds

The fourth tier can be interesting simply because far fewer people place bets on results in the lower divisions.

Here is the league table for home matches only – but don’t start assuming that this is how the away table will also look…

Pos Team Pld W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Milton Keynes Dons 10 7 3 0 15 4 11 24
2 Newport County 10 7 2 1 20 16 4 23
3 Colchester United 10 7 1 2 22 7 15 22
4 Bury 10 6 3 1 24 8 16 21
5 Tranmere Rovers 10 6 3 1 13 4 9 21
6 Lincoln City 10 6 3 1 18 10 8 21
7 Crewe Alexandra 10 6 2 2 18 7 11 20
8 Crawley Town 10 6 2 2 21 14 7 20
9 Stevenage 10 6 2 2 14 9 5 20
10 Mansfield Town 9 5 3 1 14 5 9 18
11 Exeter City 10 5 2 3 18 12 6 17
12 Oldham Athletic 10 4 2 4 16 14 2 14
13 Northampton Town 10 3 5 2 12 11 1 14
14 Port Vale 10 4 2 4 13 14 -1 14
15 Grimsby Town 10 4 2 4 12 13 -1 14
16 Swindon Town 10 3 4 3 12 16 -4 13
17 Forest Green Rovers 10 2 6 2 9 8 1 12
18 Cambridge United 10 3 2 5 10 14 -4 11
19 Carlisle United 10 3 1 6 9 14 -5 10
20 Morecambe 10 3 1 6 9 14 -5 10
21 Notts County 10 2 4 4 11 18 -7 10
22 Yeovil Town 9 1 6 2 8 12 -4 9
23 Macclesfield Town 10 2 3 5 8 18 -10 9
24 Cheltenham Town 9 1 3 5 7 14 -7 6

And now for away games – you’ll notice a huge difference – Forest Green are 17th in home form but number 1 in away form!   This shows you just how valuable this sort of simple analysis can be.

Pos Team Pld W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Forest Green Rovers 10 5 3 2 19 12 7 18
2 Lincoln City 9 5 2 2 16 7 9 17
3 Carlisle United 10 5 2 3 16 11 5 17
4 Milton Keynes Dons 10 4 4 2 15 9 6 16
5 Mansfield Town 10 2 8 0 13 9 4 14
6 Exeter City 10 3 5 2 11 9 2 14
7 Swindon Town 10 4 2 4 11 12 -1 14
8 Colchester United 10 3 4 3 11 12 -1 13
9 Yeovil Town 9 4 0 5 15 10 5 12
10 Oldham Athletic 10 2 6 2 10 7 3 12
11 Bury 10 3 3 4 14 13 1 12
12 Newport County 10 3 3 4 11 16 -5 12
13 Port Vale 10 3 2 5 7 9 -2 11
14 Stevenage 10 3 2 5 12 16 -4 11
15 Cheltenham Town 10 3 2 5 11 16 -5 11
16 Morecambe 10 3 2 5 10 18 -8 11
17 Tranmere Rovers 10 2 4 4 17 21 -4 10
18 Northampton Town 10 2 3 5 13 17 -4 9
19 Grimsby Town 10 2 2 6 7 14 -7 8
20 Cambridge United 10 2 2 6 9 20 -11 8
21 Crawley Town 9 2 0 7 6 16 -10 6
22 Notts County 10 1 3 6 11 23 -12 6
23 Crewe Alexandra 10 1 2 7 3 17 -14 5
24 Macclesfield Town 10 1 1 8 8 19 -11 4

How to predict football results and scores

By Tony Attwood

First, take a look at the home and away results tables that we regularly publish.  For example here is the Championship home and away tables on 4 December 2018

Pos Team Pld W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Leeds United 10 6 3 1 16 5 11 21
2 Wigan Athletic 10 6 3 1 14 8 6 21
3 Norwich City 10 7 0 3 17 13 4 21
4 West Bromwich Albion 10 6 2 2 27 14 13 20
5 Derby County 10 6 2 2 16 12 4 20
6 Aston Villa 10 5 4 1 24 17 7 19

So we can see that Leeds are the most powerful home team there is.  But they are not invincible.

Now we take a look at the away team: let us imagine it is Nottingham Forest

Pos Team Pld W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Norwich City 10 5 4 1 18 9 9 19
2 Leeds United 10 5 3 2 17 12 5 18
3 Middlesbrough 10 4 5 1 12 7 5 17
4 Sheffield United 10 5 1 4 16 14 2 16
5 Nottingham Forest 10 3 6 1 19 13 6 15

Forest are 5th in the table and have only had two defeats all season, but their away form only shows three wins.  They clearly play for draws.   We can say that a Forest away win is very unlikely, a Leeds home win seems likely but there is a strong possibility of a draw.   It would be a bad move to make this a home banker.

And very simply that is it.   One looks at the home and away form and makes predictions, and quite amazingly for something this simple, it does actually work.

Not every time of course, but sometimes.   Enough to be a very helpful guide when placing bets.

Man U v Arsenal: the scientific (ish) prediction of the result

By Bulldog Drummond

Of late we have been looking at forthcoming matches by comparing the home form of the home team (and equally logically) the away form of the away team.

It is by no means a perfect predictor of the result, and actually it isn’t really that scientific), and indeed the review for Sunday’s game against the Tiny Totts got the result wrong.  They were tinier than we thought.   But overall the system, simple as it is, seems to be fairly decent at predicting.

So we continue with it, and here is Man U at home:

Pos Team P W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Manchester City 8 8 0 0 30 5 25 24
2 Liverpool 7 6 1 0 15 1 14 19
3 Chelsea 8 5 3 0 17 7 10 18
4 Arsenal 8 5 2 1 16 8 8 17
5 Everton 7 5 1 1 13 6 7 16
6 Watford 7 4 0 3 10 11 -1 12
7 Leicester City 7 3 2 2 10 6 4 11
8 AFC Bournemouth 7 3 2 2 12 9 3 11
9 Brighton and Hove Albion 6 3 2 1 9 7 2 11
10 Manchester United 6 3 2 1 8 8 0 11

As we can see their results are depressed by having played only six games at home, winning three, drawing two and losing one.  But their goal difference is zero.

If we look at their home games we find

Date Match Res Score Competition
10 Aug Manchester Utd v Leicester W 2-1 Premier League
27 Aug Manc Utd v Tottenham L 0-3 Premier League
22 Sep Manchester Utd v Wolves D 1-1 Premier League
25 Sep Manchester Utd v Derby C L* 2-2 League Cup
02 Oct Manchester Utd v Valencia D 0-0 Champs League
06 Oct Man Utd v Newcastle W 3-2 Premier League
23 Oct Manchester Utd v Juventus L 0-1 Champs League
28 Oct Manchester Utd v Everton W 2-1 Premier League
24 Nov Manchester Utd v Crystal Pal D 0-0 Premier League
27 Nov Manchester Utd v Young Boys W 1-0 Champs League

*Lost 7-8

They have won four games at home, three in the PL and one in the Champs.  Outside of the League they have lost at home to Derby and Juventus and drawn with Wolverhampton, Valencia and Palace.

They have scored two or more against Leicester, Derby, Newcastle, Everton – and thus are not a complete walkover but clearly not a major player at home at the moment.

In terms of playing other clubs from last season’s top six, in addition to the defeat to Tottenham noted above they have lost away to Mancheseter City and drawn with Chelsea.

Comparing this with Arsenal away we have ourselves now fifth in the away league.  Tottenham Nomads are top due to a combination of a fine away form (excluding the last weekend of course) and a total desperation to play somewhere, anywhere, other than at any of the various grounds they call home.

Pos Team P W D L F A GD Pts
1 Tottenham Hotspur 9 7 0 2 17 10 7 21
2 Liverpool 7 5 2 0 12 4 8 17
3 Manchester City 6 4 2 0 13 1 12 14
4 Chelsea 6 4 1 1 13 4 9 13
5 Arsenal 6 4 1 1 16 10 6 13
6 Manchester United 8 3 2 3 14 15 -1 11

This away record is quite remarkable given that last season we played 19 away league games (obviously) and won four, drew four and lost 11.  We scored 20 and conceded 31.

So in just six games we have equalled the number of wins, and are just four goals short of last season’s total for away goals scored.

And if we compare Arsenal away with Man U at home we get a table where after six games Arsenal away has a better set of results than Man U at home.

Club P W D L F A GD Pts
Arsenal away 6 4 1 1 16 10 6 13
Manchester United home 6 3 2 1 8 8 0 11

Here is the actual league table in full down to Man U.

Pos Team Pld W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Manchester City 14 12 2 0 43 6 37 38
2 Liverpool 14 11 3 0 27 5 22 36
3 Chelsea 14 9 4 1 30 11 19 31
4 Arsenal 14 9 3 2 32 18 14 30
5 Tottenham Hotspur 14 10 0 4 25 15 10 30
6 Everton 14 6 4 4 20 16 4 22
7 Manchester United 14 6 4 4 22 23 -1 22

In their last seven games overall Manchester United have four wins, one defeat and two draws, which shows an improvement in form.   Arsenal has four wins and three draws, with no defeats – obviously since we are still on the unbeaten run.

The talk about Arsenal’s inability to deal with other teams who were in the top six last season has now largely been removed from the discussions, because it is harder to make a case for Arsenal’s awfulness and the desperate need to sign players – which is what all the blogs and their newspapers are based on.

Against the other members of the top six from last season’s league table Arsenal have won one, drawn one and lost two.  Not perfect but not that bad.

Manchester United have lost to Tottenham (home), drawn with Chelsea (away) and lost to Manchester City (away).  Again it is interesting how many people were saying before the Tottenham game that Arsenal had “only” played three teams from the top six, forgetting perhaps that Man U had played fewer such games.  Always remember, if the statistic only mentions Arsenal, it is probably fake.

Based on Arsenal’s away form, Manchester United’s home form, and each team’s games against other clubs from last season’s top six, the indications are that Arsenal will either win by a single goal or it will be a draw.

1 2 3